Advance
Folding climate change into conservation planning
Through a partnership focused on advancing integrated climate science (and known as ADVANCE), staff at WWF and the Center for Climate Systems Research (CCSR) at Columbia University are reinventing the way climate change information is generated, interpreted, and used for conservation and development planning.
Our first opportunity to apply this new approach came in Myanmar, where ADVANCE brought climate expertise into the larger natural capital assessment process. We worked closely with WWF-Myanmar staff and Stanford University to analyze climate risks to Myanmar’s natural capital as the country crafted strategies for a “green economy” approach to sustainable, climate-resilient economic development.
The ADVANCE team looked at how sea-level rise, rainfall, and temperature patterns have changed in the recent past, and modeled how they could change in the future. This information increased the relevance of the nationwide natural capital assessment by showing how ecosystem services were being, and likely will be, affected as climate change brings more extreme storms, drought, and the coastal flooding and erosion associated with sea-level rise.
As unprecedented nationwide floods in the summer of 2015 indicated, this information is critical as the country plans its future.
This work has led to new relationships for WWF and CCSR in Myanmar. The government’s Department of Meteorology and Hydrology is now collaborating with ADVANCE staff to improve the climate change projections through access to historical climate data from across the country. In turn, WWF and CCSR are training government staff in how to use climate science and ecosystem services in national planning.
ADVANCE is also supporting the government in developing its national climate strategy as Myanmar begins to take action to reduce vulnerability and build resilience to the impacts of climate change.
“Climate change and development pressure have motivated ecologists and economists—and now many others—to think differently about our natural resources,” says NatCap’s managing director, Mary Ruckelshaus. “More people are thinking about how nature benefits us—even saves us—not just about how we can save nature.”
When the partnership was created, the poster children were New York City, which was investing in watershed protection to secure its drinking water, and Costa Rica, which was investing in forest conservation for hydropower, tourism, climate stability, and biodiversity.
Now there are success stories worldwide. People in many countries have been trained by WWF or other partners in how to use NatCap’s software to assess natural capital so they can effectively create green economy plans, conduct environmental impact assessments for proposed projects, decide where and how much to invest in protecting a country’s natural resources or in building new roads and dams, create plans to make coastal communities more resilient to climate change, and more.
The natural capital movement is now entering a new phase. Much like the road in front of Saw Tar Klaw’s restaurant, it is going big.
“The movement is shifting from exploring whether it can effect change,” says Emily McKenzie, manager of the WWF-US Natural Capital Program, “to trying to determine the biggest changes it can make. We are going for changes in decision making that are transformational, not oneoffs. We want natural capital to become mainstream.”
Ruckelshaus concurs. “We are challenged now with making ‘natural capital’ more than the sum of its parts,” she explains. “We are creating a standardized approach for illuminating the value of nature. That’s really exciting.”
So alongside the ecologists, policy people, and academics long engaged in the effort, another group is playing an increased role in taking natural capital mainstream: the private sector. That’s where the Natural Capital Coalition comes in. More than 200 entities—including many companies—are part of the coalition, which was created in 2012 to build collaboration across sectors and elevate the importance of factoring the value of nature into business planning and investments.
“Most of the companies involved are motivated by the notion that investing in nature can help reduce risks to their business models and supply chains,” says Mark Gough, executive director of the coalition. “They also want to be transparent about how they create their products, which is an ever-increasing demand from their customers,” he adds.
The Coca-Cola Company is a leader among its peers in its approach to incorporating the value of natural systems into business planning. The company’s signature natural capital project is in Iowa’s Cedar River Valley, where—with support from WWF, the University of Minnesota, The Nature Conservancy, and Du- Pont Pioneer—the company is assessing the location and types of “best practices” for agriculture that will yield the greatest production results and environmental benefits (such as reducing erosion and fertilizer runoff) at the lowest cost.
Back in Myanmar, private business owner U Win Ko Ko Win did not know the term “natural capital” until this year. But he has firsthand experience with it.
He survived the severe flooding that blanketed much of Myanmar in 2015 and affected more than 1 million people. He has been to villages not far from his hometown where the only drinking water available to families is the dirty, polluted water from their local stream. In early 2016, he lived through one of the worst heat waves Myanmar has ever had.
Still, it was not until he attended a natural capital symposium in California—wearing his new hat as the government-appointed chairperson of his township’s environmental conservation committee—that he started to fully connect the dots between these problems and Myanmar’s approach to managing its natural resources. With his government’s blessing, and financial support from WWF’s Russell E. Train Education for Nature program, U Win Ko Ko Win learned at the symposium that when dams are built irresponsibly, soil erodes into rivers and pollutes the drinking water. And when forests are cleared to create farms, they feed climate change and the extreme weather events that come with it. Now he wants to learn as much as he can about natural capital so he can be an advocate for it within Myanmar’s new government.
“Growing up, we were told that there were unlimited resources,” he says. “We thought protecting the environment just meant cleaning up trash. Now I know there’s so much more to it than that. I read on the internet that my town will be underwater in 2050 if we don’t do a lot more to protect the environment. That’s scary to me.”
But U Win Ko Ko Win was hopeful after attending the symposium, where he had the chance to meet hundreds of people from around the world who are changing the way they think about nature—including someone from Mozambique who said something that will stick with him for a long time: “Yes, we need roads,” he cites his African counterpart as saying, “but we don’t want them without trees.”