Perhaps the biggest change over the past 17 years has been the advance of technology in conservation. Digitalization, social media, and real-time information are helping us to better monitor forests and oceans, and the activities of legal—and illegal—operators in those spaces. Technologies can help analysts behind desks keep watch over fishing fleets and trace seafood products throughout the supply chain. Satellite and radar imaging track land-use changes, shifts in forest canopy cover, soil carbon, methane emissions, and more. The application of handheld devices, miniature drones, smartphones, and thermal imaging helps us track animals, detect poachers, and guide authorities to intervene at a speed and scale that works. The possibilities are truly endless and extend to all aspects of our work.
Brood X will return in 2038. I wonder what our world will look like then. Impossible to know for sure. Without the right interventions, it could all go terribly awry. Even the cicadas require undisturbed soil for their long hibernation, and that’s an increasingly rare commodity in the world today. But I have faith that we, with others, hold it in our collective power to deliver a different outcome, and my money is on a more optimistic view.
In 17 years, I expect we will have bent the curve on greenhouse gas emissions and witnessed the rise of new industries that make it easier for us to live sustainable lives. If we do our jobs right, new technologies will measure the impacts of our choices on the planet and create greater accountability to help individuals, institutions, corporations, and governments do the right thing.
By 2038, I am certain the world will worry as much about the loss of nature as it does about climate change. Governments, corporations, and individuals equally will have become engines for green energy and the restoration of nature. Our interim emergency work on stemming the loss of nature, and protecting what we can, will begin to be supplanted by positive systemic forces that place the deepest value on nature, so that it becomes an intrinsic part of our currency and our cultures.
Within 17 years, our work will have evolved from protection to restoration. The world will have blown past terrestrial and marine protection targets of 30% and be well on the way to 40%. The majority of that increase will come through greater benefits, rights, and support for Indigenous peoples and local communities and their increased ability to sustainably manage and safeguard their natural resources. There will no longer be an active WWF presence in many landscapes where we work today. Instead, the only evidence that we were there at all will be the vibrant communities, strong local leadership, and solid local institutions that safeguard nature because they rightly see it as the foundation for their lives.
I hope that the deep divisions in our country, and in the world for that matter, will have diminished and that people will learn to listen to each other, to cherish our differences, and to cooperate. I hope that our political parties will replace mutual disdain with respect, meet in the middle to solve the greatest problems of the day, and build far more sustainable and inclusive educational, health care, and economic systems.
Finally, 17 years from now, I hope my grandchildren will have the chance to benefit from a stable climate and an intact planet. I hope they will experience the wonders of the natural world, including Brood X, and that there are still such massive swarms that they will understand why groups of cicadas are called a cloud. And I hope they are able to bear witness, as Dylan did, to why singing cicadas are called a chorus.